Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Randy Moss vs. TO...Whos Better?

There is no doubt in my mind that Terrell Owens and Randy Moss are among the game's elite wide receivers. Recently, there has been a lot of debate as to who is a better football player.



I believe that Randy Moss is a more dominant wide receiver than Terrell Owens, for several reasons. The big separating factor between these two wideouts is the ability to catch the football. Randy Moss has incredible hands and catching ability, and Terrell Owens still drops way too many passes to be considered elite in this regard.

In terms of overall strength and blocking ability, TO handles this much better than Randy Moss. He doesn't shy away from contact, and is a true force at the line of scrimmage, where he takes on defensive backs head to head. I would consider Randy Moss' blocking ability to be slightly above-average, but he does enough to jam the corners up when he has to.

In terms of speed and playmaking ability, Moss triumphs in this aspect. He runs an incredible fly route and can separate from cornerbacks simply by running past them. TO, in the speed aspect, is closer to a possession receiver than many would realize. He can't rely on game breaking speed, so he makes plays with his body and adjusts to the ball as necessary.



Both have questionable work ethics and attitudes, so they are fairly even in this aspect.

If we take the quarterback they play with into account, Randy Moss rolls with Tom Brady as his passer. Brady is one of the best quarterbacks ever to play the game, and their tandem is simply unstoppable.

Who do you think is the better of the two?

Monday, December 10, 2007

For Real, Just Playin: Waiver Wire Targets Week 15

Being a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association of America, you'd think you'd get a quality fantasy article out of me every now and then, right?

Well, to all those who are wondering, here you go. In such a crucial week, the right waiver wire pickups can make or break your season. Let's break it down position by position, so you can find the right guy for your roster.

Quarterback

For Real: Sage Rosenfels (QB-Hou)

My dad is a huge Washington Redskins fan, and Rosenfels used to be the third string quarterback for the Skins, behind then-starter Mark Brunell and backup Jason Campbell. Boy, he has turned into a prolific quarterback. The once-joke quarterback out of Iowa State has turned in quite a few quality performances in relief of starting QB Matt Schaub, and he faces a below-average Broncos secondary next week. He could churn out a pretty decent performance, so why not take a chance on him if you need a spot starter for Week 15.

Just Playin': Luke McCown (QB-TB)

Luke has had some good games this season, and looks to be a perfect fit in Tampa Bay's system. But QB Jeff Garcia should return next week, and McCown will move to the bench. Geez, how many McCowns are relegated to the bench in a single season? I've completely lost count!


Running Back

For Real: Darius Walker (RB-Hou), Samkon Gado (RB-Mia)

What's this? Two Houston players "for real"? Boy, times have changed. But Darius Walker is the new starting running back in Houston, after the incumbent Ron Dayne got injured again yesterday. He is a worthy waiver wire pickup, as whoever starts at RB for Houston will get that cushy Denver run defense next week.

Another thing about Walker...would never imagine he'd get a starting gig before his former teammate, Brady Quinn. Whatever happened to that guy, anyway?

Gado actually turned in a pretty decent game against the Bills, posting 53 yards on 12 carries, with 2 TDs. If Jesse Chatman has to miss any more time, Gado could post some numbers worthy of using in a flex position.

Just Playin': Fred Jackson (RB-Buf)

Call it a mulligan if you want. Fred Jackson was relegated to the bench after it was announced shortly before gametime yesterday that Marshawn Lynch was going to start for Buffalo. Jackson responded with a great game anyway...he posted 115 yards on 15 carries.

Two things about this performance: the Bills were facing the Dolphins, who fell out of it early, and Lynch still got the majority of the carries. There is no time share in Buffalo, as Lynch will get the ball in much closer matchups. Avoid Jackson, and I'd even go as far to say he's a safe drop, if theres someone else out on the wire.


Wide Receivers, Tight Ends

For Real: Anthony Gonzalez (WR-Ind), Jabar Gaffney (WR-NE)

Anthony Gonzalez and Jabar Gaffney both play on high powered offenses centered around great quarterbacks, and so the question is not whether or not they are capable of producing, it is simply a matter of when. Gonzalez is the safer option of the two, seeing that he is the number 2/3 option on the Colts with Marvin Harrison out. Gaffney, on the other hand, plays on the stacked NE offense, who use a wide array of players and spread the ball out frequently. Both are worthy pickups, but be prepared for Lee Evans-like spikes in production. In other words, they could post 20 fantasy points one week and 2 points the next.

They are still worth rostering, when all is said and done.

Just Playin': Jerheme Urban (WR-Ari), Derek Hagan (WR-Mia), Mark Clayton (WR-Bal)

On the flip side, these guys had great receiving days yesterday, but I have questions over each of them. Urban came out of nowhere to produce like Bryant Johnson was supposed to, and he is still too risky to use in a regular lineup. Hagan plays on the Miami offense, and though they will have to throw a lot since they will be playing from behind, the talented Hagan is also too risky to put in your lineup and use in such a crucial week. Clayton was the beneficiary of some game-out-of-hand throwing as well, as the Baltimore team absolutely got murdered by the Colts yesterday. Not to mention, most of those stats he put up were against the Colt's second team defense.

Hope this article provides a good outline for who to target on the waiver wire! If I left anyone out, be sure to respond and get the word out to your fellow owners. On second thought, maybe you should keep quiet!

Troy Smith...TOUCHDOWN BALTIMORE!!

As an Ohio State transfer student to Wake Forest, this is a moment to be treasured greatly.



Troy Smith scored his first NFL TD tonight vs. Indianapolis...a 6 yard touchdown run, breaking two tackles in the process. I really think he's a special player who will eventually breakthrough as a fantastic passer in the NFL.

Is he the future at QB for Baltimore?

Nice Try, But Forget It: Patriots Are Unstoppable

After defeating the Pittsburgh Steelers today, one thing stood clear in my mind.

The New England Patriots will not only go undefeated in the regular season, they will win the Super Bowl, and go down as one of the best teams in the history of the NFL.

The New England Patriots are stacked with roster talent, have the best coach in the National Football League, and have that magical "it" that many teams never find.

What is that "it", exactly? The luck found in calls, replay challenges, and the overall avoidance of serious injuries.

There will always be an amount of uncertainty to how they got all 16 wins (if they go undefeated), with SpyGate putting a big asterisk on their accomplishments. But their accomplishments are undisputed: they are simply phenomenal.

So here's a breakdown of the Patriots last three games for this season, along with a way of potentially upsetting the powerhouse Patriots.


NYJ at NE, Week 15: With the way the New York Jets have been playing, you think that they are no better than the New England second-string roster, and it could be true. But if Kellen Clemens can step up and post a Kyle Boller-like performance, with a solid rushing effort from running backs Thomas Jones and Leon Washington, then these guys will have a fighting chance.

But then again, the NYJ defense is among the worst.

Conclusion: 0.1% chance of beating the Patriots


MIA at NE, Week 16: Ohh geez! Just when you saw the Jets matchup, you probably envisioned, it can't get much worse than that. Well yes it can. The Dolphins are led by quarterbacks Cleo Lemon and John Beck. Who?

It is possible that the Patriots third-string team is capable of putting a fight up against this Dolphins offense. It is miserable. The Dolphins defense is unable to accomplish much of anything, because the offense can never stay on the field.

But if Miami can establish the running game early with RBs Samkon Gado and Patrick Cobbs, and keep Patriots QB Tom Brady off the field, then they stand a small chance. Gado ran well today, even in a horrific loss to the Bills.

Nonetheless, Tom Brady will throw for over 400 yards in this one. Don't you feel for those fish? Ohh, and the Buffalo Bills killed them today, 38-17.

Conclusion: 0.1% chance of beating the Patriots

NE at NYG, Week 17: The New England Patriots will come into this game 15-0, and the Giants are the best chance for them to be overtaken and knocked off of their undefeated ways. But it is still an upward battle. The running back core is decimated, and Eli Manning is not throwing well at all.

The Giants defense is the strong suit, however, led by a fantastic (though injured) defensive line, strong linebackers, and a decent secondary. If NYG can establish the running game early, and tack on a couple great passes from Eli Manning, this could end up working well in the Giants favor.

They are by no means a bad team, but they will have to bring the best efforts they have for them to stand a chance. It is Week 17, too, and Belichick may want to rest his starters for the playoffs, which would be a logical move. Don't bank on it.

Conclusion: 20% chance of beating the Patriots

Will the Patriots go undefeated this season?

The Five Most Under-Appreciated Players In the NFL

You have your Tom Bradys and Brett Favres...those quarterbacks who stand tall in the pocket and deliver solid performances week after week. You have those all-purpose running backs like LaDainian Tomlinson and Brian Westbrook who give a fantastic effort non-stop.

And then you have those other players: players which casual NFL fans aren't able to name...the performances that stick out, but don't necessarily stand out in our heads.

Here are five players who are unappreciated by NFL fans everywhere, who constantly put their teams in a position to succeed.


David Garrard (QB-Jac)

All that David Garrard has done this season is lead the Jacksonville Jaguars to an 8-4 record, while maintaining a top-notch QB rating of 104.7 (third best in the league). This guy has transformed into one of the most reliable quarterbacks in the league, without a doubt. His consistent performances go unrecognized by much of the country, possibly due to the fact that Jacksonville is a small-market NFL team. He deserves more credit than that!

Jamal Lewis (RB-Cle)

The spotlight in Cleveland always falls on young slinger Derek Anderson and star WR Braylon Edwards, but you have to give Lewis some props. He is averaging a respectable 4.1 yards per carry, for a total of 803 rushing yards and 8 TDs. He is flying under the radar at this point, and has to be recognized for his workmanlike numbers running behind an average Cleveland offensive line.


Bobby Engram (WR-Sea)

Can we PLEASE get some love for Engram? Sure, everyone recognizes former Super Bowl MVP Deion Branch and young star DJ Hackett, but let's take a step back for a second. Engram leads the team with 72 catches for 874 yards and four scores. The Seattle receiving corps has been beat up this season, but Engram has been extremely consistent and able to produce. He plays hard, and is one of the best third down converting WR's in the league. Lets get him the props he deserves!


Roddy White (WR-Atl)

Few NFL viewers have taken note of the fantastic season Roddy White has had with Atlanta. The former first round pick out of UAB was bordering on bust status coming into this season, but has produced to a very high level playing with an unstable Atlanta quarterback situation. I love Roddy White, and his game-breaking speed he brings to the table. Team officials state that his work ethic has improved to an all-new level, and he is in the best shape of his life. He is 8th in the NFL with 920 receiving yards, and I look for him to end on a very high note as we close out this season.

Donald Lee (TE-GB)

How can you not say that Lee is among the best tight ends in this league? Whenever Brett Favre needs a crucial third down conversion, he zips the ball out to Donald Lee, and he makes a play. Donald Lee is under-appreciated, and has been for years. Bubba Franks stole the show in Green Bay for years, but it's time for Lee to step up and become one of the elite tight ends in the league. With his strong work ethic and attitude, he can take that next step.

Other Underappreciated players: Jeff Garcia/Luke McCown (QB-TB), Fred Taylor (RB-Jac) Shaun McDonald (WR-Det), Ike Hillard (WR-TB)

What players in today's NFL do you think need to get more recognition for their contributions on the gridiron?

Ladies and Gentlemen, Your HEISMAN TROPHY WINNER!!


Tim Tebow, Florida

Tebow's Accomplishments At Florida: QB Rating: 177.85, 217-317 for 3132 yards passing, 29 TD-6 INT, 194 carries: 838 yards, 22 rush TDs

The Rest of the Results...
2. Darren McFadden (RB-Ark)
3. Colt Brennan (QB-Haw)
4. Chase Daniel (QB-Mizzou)
5. Dennis Dixon (QB-Ore)
6. Pat White (QB-WVU)

Did he deserve it? Fire away.

Tim Tebow...In A Landslide!! (Heisman Rundown)

So there's this small, insignificant trophy that will be handed out tonight to one college football player who had a good season this year.

In case you haven't heard, it's the Heisman, and you better be watching tonight.

Tim Tebow (QB-Fla)

The media has pumped up this year's race to be one of the closest ever, but I'm not buying the hype at all. I'll get straight to my point: It's Florida's Tim Tebow, in a landslide vote.

22 rushing touchdowns. That's the only stat you have to know. Okay, Tebow was also very good through the air as well, passing for a total of 3,132 yards and 29 TDs, but those stats are just minor in the big scheme of things. I'm repeating myself again here...22 rushing touchdowns.

Now even if Florida had a solid running back, it is still an impressive statistic. The media is constantly labeling him as a "product of the system," which makes me want to puke. If the system revolves around using your QB as a goal line back, and the system works, there is no reason to take anything away from the QB himself. Besides, where would Florida be had Tebow NOT converted those touchdown runs? And don't even tell me Kestahn Moore could do it, even though he accounted for 6 TDs. He doesn't have that burst like Tebow does.

Those statistics that Tebow put up are staggering, and adding in the fact that he plays in one of the toughest conferences in the country (yes, I'm not bringing up the conference debate here), he will run away with the Heisman this year.

But what about the other candidates? Let's take a look...

Darren McFadden (RB-Ark)

There's no question on this one...Darren McFadden is the best running back in college football, and will have a stellar career running for an NFL team. But this year, he will finish second, yet again, but this time to the Florida quarterback. McFadden had another great season on the ground, rushing for 1,725 yards and 15 TDs. But that's not all. He also learned how to play quarterback, a la LaDainian Tomlinson, and ended the season 6-11 for 123 yards and 4 TDs.

When you watch McFadden play, you think Heisman, but the voters will be scared away due to the fact that backup running back Felix Jones ran for 1,117 yards and 11 scores, bringing McFadden's incredible numbers down a notch because Arkansas ran the ball so much. The Arkansas running back tandem reminds me a lot of the old Minnesota tandem of Laurence Maroney and Marion Barber. Those guys were just as dominant, if not more.

McFadden is a fantastic running back, but not the best player in college football. Arkansas would still be able to win football games with Jones in the backfield.

Crazier things have happened, however...watch McFadden win the award because of that crazy, otherworldly 268.5 passer rating.

Colt Brennan (QB-Haw)

I LOVE COLT BRENNAN. The guy is a beast. Sure, Hawaii has that "system" that even helped Timmy Chang look good, but Brennan is legitimate. He projects to the NFL very nicely, and no matter what the awards say, he is the best quarterback in college football.

But will the fact that he put up 4,522 passing yards, 41 TDs, and a 166.31 passer rating help him in this year's Heisman race? It's questionable.

Running back Kevin Smith ran for 2,448 yards and 29 touchdowns. He also caught 21 passes for 230 yards and a score. Why go off on a tangent like this? He plays for Central Florida, hardly a force to be reckoned with through a national overlook. The WAC, unfortunately, will end up being Brennan's limiting factor.

It's a shame, because if the Heisman is really meant to be given to the best player in college football, then Brennan is fully deserving. Hawaii would have not even had a chance to go undefeated without him under center. I feel for the guy, and I believe he even has a chance to finish ahead of Darren McFadden. We'll have to see.

Chase Daniel (QB-Mizzou)

Dennis Dixon and Pat White should really be here instead of Daniel, though he did have a really great season with Mizzou, almost taking them to the National Championship. Without Daniel and Dixon, their respective teams would have not gotten anywhere near the level that they did this season. It is truly a shame that Dixon had to get injured so close to the end of the season...he would have been my Heisman favorite if he had just stayed healthy.

Pointing out Daniels statistics is somewhat overdone, however, as he has the least chance at winning the Heisman compared to these other candidates. Though he led a mediocre Mizzou team to the number 1 ranking and the Big 12 Championship (which are decent accomplishments), there isn't really anything else that stands out about him. The number 1 ranking accomplishment really didn't hold a lot of meaning this season, with teams frequently dropping out of the top spot, and the Big 12 as a whole had a down year.

Well, there are the candidates! Hope you all tune in tonight to see who takes home the most coveted prize in college football (with the exception of the National Championship, of course!)

Fantasy Football: Falling Short of Expectations

There is just something about math and me that doesn't mix very well.

I'll be honest: I have never been a math student. I've never really been interested in how a circle works, how to simplify fractions, the formula of a derivative, or integrating certain functions.

And I'm struggling in my calculus class...not that I had big expectations coming in of the class. I knew that calculus was going to be a drag.

In real life, though, every football player who plays in the NFL comes in with some sort of expectation, and though goals and expectations could vary drastically from player to player, they are still there.

Fantasy football owners can be among the harshest critics of them all. They constantly believe that their first round pick (more likely than not, a running back), should produce to first round numbers: exceeding 1000 yards on the ground and scoring a high number of touchdowns.

Some players control how successful they are in the league...look at Randy Moss with the Raiders, who essentially gave up in his tenure there. Or Edgerrin James, signing with the Arizona Cardinals, only to experience one of the worst seasons in his career in the first year he spent there.

And others just fall short, due to means completely out of their control. Take Marvin Harrison for example, who hasn't completely recovered from injuries practically the entire season.

So who fell short of expectations on a fantasy football level this season? Let's take a look, position by position...

Quarterbacks

Marc Bulger (QB-StL)

Drafted with high expectations in mind to start the season, Bulger never really lived up to the hype of being a top five fantasy quarterback. We knew that he had problems with his offensive line coming in, but he had performed well under similar circumstances in previous seasons, so there was no reason to think he would regress as harshly as he did. Bulger missed three games (Week 5, Week 6, and Week 13) with injuries this season, but also had three weeks where he scored negative fantasy points. His decision making has taken a step back this season, and the injuries to his supporting cast don't help.

Alex Smith (QB-SF)

Smith was drafted in the late rounds as a potential breakout quarterback, but all that he has done is bust for fantasy owners. Scouts have began to question his ability to last in the league, as the potential they saw from him as a player in college has greatly waned. I attribute Smith's poor season as a combination of the loss of Norv Turner as offensive coordinator, as well as a mediocre supporting cast. Darrell Jackson has greatly underachieved as well, after being a top tier fantasy receiver the past few seasons.

Others: Vince Young (Ten)

Running Backs

Cedric Benson (RB-Chi)

What a season for Benson. People raved about Benson after the trade of Thomas Jones to the New York Jets, but Benson responded with one of the worst seasons imaginable. He averaged a dismal 3.4 yards per carry, and showed Bears fans very little in terms of potential this season. Not to mention, he suffered a serious fracture to his left leg, which will take a while (and a lot of effort) to rehabilitate.

Shaun Alexander (RB-Sea)

What's up with all of these NFC West players? Alexander was drafted in the first round of almost all fantasy football drafts this season, but has underachieved incredibly since a great first four weeks. In the span from Week 5 to Week 9 (excluding the Seahawks bye in Week , he failed to break 47 rushing yards on the ground. It's clear that the mileage on his legs is really starting to take a toll on him, so enjoy what you can get out of Alexander now before he gets too old to play the game.

Others: Laurence Maroney (NE), Rudi Johnson (Cin)


Wide Receivers

Lee Evans (WR-Buf)

Ohh Lee Evans, you crazy pass-catcher you. Evans has talent comparable to the top receivers in this league, and if he was on any other offense in the league, he would be a top 5 wide receiver. But lucky him, he gets stuck with QB's JP Losman and Trent Edwards. Though he had success with JP in the past, he has recorded one of the worst and most inconsistent seasons in his career. I loved the guy coming into the season, but his only two good fantasy weeks came in Week 8 and 9. Other than that, he has been a real rollercoaster, and I would steer clear in future seasons.

Vincent Jackson (WR-SD)

One of the season's hottest sleepers, Jackson seemed like a natural young player ready to take the next step up. Some people even termed him "the next T.O." However, Jackson has hardly lived up to this hype. He has had a very disappointing season, playing with the underachieving Philip Rivers and a mediocre receiving core around him. He still has potential, but when Chris Chambers is even struggling in the offense, you konw that something needs to change for Jackson to be able to take that next step.

Others: Chris Chambers (WR-SD), Andre Johnson (WR-Hou), Santana Moss (WR-Was), Darrell Jackson (WR-SF)


Tight Ends

Vernon Davis (TE-SF)

Davis has incredible natural talent, and he is truly incredible to watch on the football field. Unfortunately for him, though, he got stuck on a horrible offense, and failed to produce to lofty top-5 TE expectations. Of course, playing with QB Alex Smith didn't really help things. Out of the players on this list, Davis has the most potential to turn things around, and I expect him to become a top 5 fantasy tight end sometime in his career. Just not anytime soon.

Others: Todd Heap (TE-Bal), Ben Watson (TE-NE)

Kickers, Defenses: Nate Kaeding (K-SD), Jeff Wilkins (K-StL), Baltimore (DEF-Bal), Carolina (DEF-Car)

There you have it...the players and teams that fell short of expectations this season. Let me know your thoughts!!

INJURIES: Bring In The Michigan Quarterbacks!!



If you're a Michigan football fan, you're going to love this.

There have been a TON of injuries, just in the first half of tonight's Thursday night football game. Rex Grossman, Jason Campbell, and Chris Cooley were all injured, and are all either ruled doubtful or questionable to return.

Update: Chris Cooley has returned to the game (12/6: 10:03)
Update: Jason Campbell has a Dislocated Patella Tendon (12/6: 10:03)

Bring on Brian Griese and Todd Collins, two former Michigan quarterbacks.

Griese has made some questionable throws tonight, and Shawn Springs has two picks already. Todd Yoder, filling in for the injured Chris Cooley, caught a touchdown pass from Todd Collins with 17 seconds to go in the half.

In case you didn't know, you can catch a live stream of this game for free on NFL.com. Check it out!!

Grobe, Winter Meetings, Football...A Busy Thursday


Jim Grobe is one well respected man on Wake Forest's campus.

This morning, I received an email from the Screamin' Demons coordinator stating this:

"Deacs!!! If you love Coach Grobe and you want him to stay please tell as many people as you can to meet in front of Pruitt Football center today at 11am (aka NOW!!) and show Coach Grobe that this community loves him more than any money can buy (ahem Arkansas)!!!!!!

See you then!!! (Tell your friends!)"

There was a lot of confusion as to what exactly was going on. Sporting News even said that Grobe would coach at Arkansas, then changed their story title to "Grobe To Stay At Wake Forest."

Good news, and everyone let out a huge sigh of relief! The entire campus is happy that Grobe isn't going anywhere. After all, Grobe is going to bring us lots of championships, championships, championships!

I'll try to restrain myself now. After all, that Michigan job is still open.

Winter Meeting Update

Boring morning in Nashville and winter meetings. Not too much has surfaced since the Andruw Jones signing late last night. Keep a close watch out on my blog, as I'll report any big-time deals or free agent signings as soon as I get 'em, so you're in the loop.

And...football?

Yes, we have Thursday night football tonight, with the Bears taking on the Redskins at 8PM EST tonight. It's too bad that the game has to be on the NFL Network, as much of the country still doesn't have access to the "premium" channel. If it was my call, I'd make it standard with cable so everyone can enjoy the games and coverage, but in a way, it kind of destroys the purpose of having a weekday game.

According to pregame.com, the Redskins are favored to win by three points. Despite the spread, I believe that the Bears will come away with a victory in a very close game. After losing by a point to the Buffalo Bills just this past Sunday (on a game winning field goal), I believe that the Redskins are completely drained, physically and emotionally taxed. Look for them to give a good effort, but fall just short tonight.



Here are the names of the players in tonight's game you should start, consider starting, or sitting in your fantasy lineups:

QB:
Start: Jason Campbell (WAS)
Consider Starting: Rex Grossman (CHI)

RB:
Start: Clinton Portis (WAS), Adrian Peterson (CHI)
Sit: Ladell Betts (WAS-Emergency Option), Garrett Wolfe (CHI)

WR:
Consider Starting: Bernard Berrian (CHI-#2 or #3 WR), Santana Moss (WAS-#3 WR), Muhsin Muhammad (CHI-#3 WR)
Bench: Antwaan Randle El (WAS), Keenan McCardell (WAS), Rashied Davis (CHI), Reche Caldwell (WAS), Devin Hester (CHI)

TE:
Start: Chris Cooley (WAS)
Consider Starting: Desmond Clark (CHI)
Bench: Greg Olsen

K/DEF:
Start: Chicago (DEF)
Consider Starting: Shaun Suisham (WAS), Robbie Gould (CHI), Washington (DEF)

Your best bets out of this mediocre group are Jason Campbell (QB), Clinton Portis (RB), Adrian Peterson (RB), Chris Cooley (TE), and the Chicago defense. Personally, I would pass on the rest of these players in such a critical week. You can find more reliable options on the waiver wire, but be sure to pick them up before 8PM tonight!

Check back later today for any MLB trade or free agent signing updates. You'll be among the first to know if anything big goes down!

BREAKING NEWS: Andruw Jones Signs With LAD

According to the Los Angeles Dodgers website, the team has signed free agent center fielder Andruw Jones to a two year, 36 million dollar deal. This is a great signing for Los Angeles, who needed some major offensive power in their lineup. Jones is also a fantastic defensive center fielder as well.

Andruw Jones had an off year statistically last season, batting .222 and hitting only 26 home runs (he had 51 and 41 the year before). The change in scenery should be good for him, but there will be doubts, both in LA and around the country, of his ability to perform at his 2004-2005 level. If he doesn't perform up to par, you have to credit Scott Boras again...

Latest MLB Trade Rumors, Tigers-Marlins...Big Deal

We are amidst 2007 winter meetings...a time where teams talk, rumors fly, and the baseball world goes nuts. There have been an incredible amount of rumors to surface within the past 48 hours, and I'll get most of those down for you, as well as a review of last night's blockbuster deal.

Tigers-Marlins Trade (Last Night)

Well that trade sure was massive, wasn't it?

The Detroit Tigers and Florida Marlins agreed in principle to a massive blockbuster deal last night. In case you missed it, the Tigers received top third baseman Miguel Cabrera and starting pitcher Dontrelle Willis, in return for two top prospects (Cameron Maybin and Andrew Miller), catcher Mike Rabelo, and three minor league pitchers.

This is a great deal for both teams, and the trade seems to be fairly even. Detroit gets one of the best third basemen in the league in Miguel Cabrera. Rumors came up a few weeks ago regarding Florida wanting to move him to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. Seeing this, I love how Detroit put their foot down and got a deal done in a swift manner. Miguel will add even more punch to a stacked lineup, and with an above-average starting rotation, the Tigers look like the clear favorite to win the AL Central.

Dontrelle Willis was an interesting addition to this deal. Dontrelle had a spectacular debut in the majors, but his ability to dominate hitters has been waning since the end of 2005. He has experienced a significant drop in his strikeout to walk ratio, which is an indicator of a pitcher's ability to dominate hitters, with a trend downward (3.09 in 2005, 1.93 in 2006, 1.68 in 2007). Simply put, he is no longer the quality of pitcher he was in 2003-2005. Fans love his high leg kick, and he is a great player to market, but he is simply no better than a #4 or #5 starter in the American League. On the Detroit staff, he will probably be the last man in their rotation.

Looking at the deal from a Florida standpoint, they got two of the best prospects in baseball in Andrew Miller and Cameron Maybin. Andrew Miller was regarded as the top starting pitcher in his draft, and he is a raw product that should develop nicely in Florida. Cameron Maybin is a five tool player who scouts love, and he could end up turning into a Grady Sizemore-type at his peak. The other players in this deal should provide some good support to their farm system, which they have to rely on as a small market team.

Latest Trade Rumors From Around The League

Maybe this isn't the last time we'll see David Wells pitching in the Major Leagues. Newsday reports that the Seattle Mariners and Cincinnati Reds have interest in bringing back the guy. If they do, they really shouldn't expect much. The guy is in his mid-40s and has nowhere to go but down.

The Dallas News reports that Hank Blalock is in demand around the league, but is not on the block. According to the website, the St. Louis Cardinals, Philadelphia Phillies, Minnesota Twins, and the Los Angeles Dodgers are all interested in acquiring the third baseman. Blalock has a decent bat, but coming off an injury-plagued season, I have my doubts of his ability to bounce back.

The Athletics have expressed that they want to wait and see what happens with Johan Santana before trading prized starting pitcher Dan Haren, and can you blame them? There is talk that they have worked with the Arizona Diamondbacks to trade Haren, and it could potentially involve RP Jose Valverde. Valverde has been mentioned along with other teams as well. I assume that the Diamondbacks would look to hold onto their young stars in Justin Upton, Stephen Drew, Mark Reynolds, and Chris B. Young, but you never know.

ESPN.com reported that the Giants and Blue Jays were talking a deal involving Toronto's Alexis Rios in exchange for the Giants' Tim Lincecum. But apparently Rios isn't enough to get a deal done; San Francisco wants more in return, or Lincecum out and Matt Cain in the deal instead. There is something here, so be sure to watch these talks closely. Honestly, who wouldn't take the young Lincecum?

Erik Bedard is garnering a lot of interest, particularly from two teams in the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies. He'd be a spectacular catch for those who aren't able to get Santana. Bedard is really the only thing the Orioles have that has value, minus Tejada, so hopefully they can get the most out of a team willing to trade for him. More information here.

Well there you have it! Let me know your thoughts on this crazy winter meeting time...

Pats-Ravens: Monday Night Football At It's Finest

There is always one Monday Night Football game that is overwhelmingly exciting each season, and this season, that game was last-night's Patriots at Ravens matchup.

Coming in as major underdogs, the Baltimore Ravens really didn't have much to lose. Losers of their last five games, they had looked to right the ship to a lost season.

The Ravens defense came to play, and they were clearly focused and had that drive to win. Emotionally, every player was fired up - including Bart Scott, who ironically, would greatly hurt any chance of winning at the end of the game.

I found myself cheering for the underdog Ravens the entire time, like the rest of America (minus those obnoxious Patriots fans!), and it felt like no matter how far in front the Ravens would get, the Patriots would always find a way to catch up. That Jabar Gaffney catch was really something, wasn't it?

The Ravens came within two yards of beating the undefeated Patriots after a spectacular Mark Clayton catch. The Patriots quickly brought down the talented pass-catcher.

"FUMBLE TO MASON, CLAYTON, FUMBLE TO MASON!" I yelled.

After such a disappointing loss, you'd have to imagine that the Ravens will take a long time to recover from the outcome. Their power running game worked, the defense made a ton of stops, and they end up losing by one field goal.

What does a team have to do to beat those nasty silver and blue players from New England? People may have their opinions and approaches, but I wrap up that question with this answer:

Play your best football, and cross your fingers. And that's what the Ravens did last night.

Three Things I Learned From This Game

At the conclusion of every game I watch, I try to think about distinguishing factors that were interesting to me and the country. Here are three that I came up with from what I saw last night:

Kyle Boller has the ability to be an above-average NFL QB.

Okay, okay. This one is going to be a tough one to defend: people believe that Kyle Boller has been one of the biggest busts since the Ravens traded up to get him in the 2003 draft. But Kyle Boller made some gutsy throws last night, and ended with a 105.3 QB rating against a stout Patriots pass defense. I believe that if Kyle Boller is handed a starting job, with a little bit of development, he can turn into a reliable quarterback for a team with a quarterback need in the NFL.

There is no doubt that he is inconsistent, but he has a strong arm, and doesn't rush to make decisions, which are two of the key things scouts look for in a developmental quarterback. He has the running ability to get out of jams and make plays, as well, and we saw that multiple times last night with his completions to Derrick Mason and Devard Darling.

Don't think that all of his NFL potential is gone...he can still be a serviceable quarterback.

The Patriots are beatable, if you maximize your offense through the running game.

If you had to take a wild guess of Willis McGahee's final stat line from the game, what would you guess? 55 yards? 75 yards and a score? Try 138 yards and a score. The Ravens started off drives with inside runs, and they were effective. When they converted on third downs, it opened up more space for McGahee because the defense tired out, and quickly.

Key thing to remember here: RUN the football with inside power runs, if you want any chance at beating the Patriots. The Steelers and Giants both have great backfields, so hopefully they can maximize their plays on the ground and put themselves in a position to win.

And finally...

No matter what, the refs will never get every call correct.

Jabar Gaffney catching that pass in the endzone...was it a catch?. The play that ended up deciding the game was a questionable Gaffney catch, which I believe shouldn't have been counted. He was switching the ball to his other hand, which wasn't necessary because he wasn't expecting to get hit. The refs made the best call they could, and it ended up going in NE's favor.

Hope you were able to catch the MNF game last night, because there won't be another one nearly that exciting the rest of the season.

The "Other" BCS Bowls Preview

So, it's Ohio State and LSU, huh?

After a ridiculous college football season, college football fans across the country were anxious for the BCS Selection Show, which aired at 8PM EST last night.

And what a show it was. LSU-OSU has gotten a ton of attention, but what about the other BCS bowls? Let's dive into these...

The "Other" BCS Games

The first big surprise, at least for me, was Kansas.

KANSAS!? Are we talking about the same team that lost to Missouri in the Big 12 Championship, and played an extremely weak strength of schedule?

Yes, that Kansas. Kansas' biggest win of the year came against in-state rival Kansas State, who was ranked #24 at that time. On the flip side, Missouri had a much stronger strength of schedule, and also defeated Kansas in the Big 12 Championship game in an impressive manner, 36-28.

There's no way around it: Missouri was shafted out of the BCS which they deserved so greatly. They were clearly more qualified than the Jayhawks, and it has to be a disappointing ending to their season.

In the Rose Bowl, the USC Trojans will take on the Illinois Fighting Illini. Come again? USC will absolutely blow out the Illini on National TV, and it will only continue to degrade an already weak conference in the Big Ten. So sorry for drawing that matchup, Coach Zook.

In the Sugar Bowl, the Dawgs of Georgia will take on an exciting Hawaii Warrior team. At least we can get some true excitement on New Year's Day. This is one of the more intriguing matchups, pitting a very good Bulldog team in a strong conference against an undefeated school in a significantly weaker WAC. Watch out for Colt Brennan, who could be the man and kill the Bulldogs with his arm. His heisman hype lives on this game.

Two calls for this game: Yes, it will be a close game, and people will use this game to argue for a playoff system. And I have to give kudos to Mark Richt: nice job trying to pump up your team's hype, and don't even think about pulling the "disqualified" card.

Next, you have the Fiesta Bowl. Both WVU and Oklahoma, two fantastic football teams, will be pitted against each other on January 2. I love WVU, with Pat White, Steve Slaton, Noel Devine, and that offense. But honestly, could you say that WVU was going to lose to Pittsburgh? It wasn't on ANYONES mind before it happened. I think that West Virginia should be playing in the National Championship, as I feel they are one of the top two teams in the country.

And this just in, Oklahoma is a darn good football team. Sam Bradford, Allen Patrick: their talent is underappreciated and horribly underrated. All in all, I cannot wait to see this game, and have a feeling that this could end up being a better game than OSU-LSU and USC-Illinois combined.

Finally, you have Virginia Tech and Kansas. Not much to say about this one, but it does feature two exciting coaches. It should be somewhat refreshing to see a new KU helmet in a bowl game.


All in all, get excited for this bowl season. And remember, there is a lot more to bowl season than the National Championship Game!

Fantasy Football: Sleepers For 2008

As the 2007 fantasy football season heads to a close, many fantasy owners who missed the playoffs are already thinking about 2008. Here are a couple players to keep in mind for next season, as they could be drastically better when the new season rolls around.

Upgrades

Matt Schaub, QB-Houston Texans

I have always been a big Matt Schaub fan, back to his Virginia days. Schaub is a great passer with good instincts and a strong arm. I really like the way he fits into the Houston offense, and he has accomplished great things this season in his first year as starter. If Houston can acquire a good running back, look for Schaub to really take off next season. Playing with Andre Johnson and the young, talented Owen Daniels will definitely help as well.

Next Season: Starting Fantasy Quarterback

Vince Young, QB-Tennessee Titans

Vince Young has undeniable dual-threat talent, and the idea of a dual-threat QB is dying in today's NFL. Young has great potential to grow and develop in the offseason, but Tennessee has to do something about that horrible corps of wideouts. Look for them to draft a young wide receiver in next years draft. All that he needs is a reliable wide receiver target to become a solid fantasy quarterback.

Next Season: Top Fantasy Backup With Starting Potential


Ryan Grant, RB-Green Bay Packers

Remember when the Packers had a running back by committee? It seems very far gone with Ryan Grant in the backfield now. Grant is a true workhorse back with a great overall skill set. He reminds me a lot of Ahman Green back when he was so successful with the Packers. Grant can catch out of the backfield, and will get around 20-25 carries a game. He will fly up draft boards early on next summer, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him drafted in the late first round.

Next Season: Starting Fantasy Running Back (#1)

Kolby Smith, RB-Kansas City Chiefs

Avoiding Adrian Peterson (Minnesota) in this upgrades article, take a look at Kansas City's Kolby Smith. The Chiefs have always put great emphasis on the running game. Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson are two names that come to mind. Smith is a talented young back, simply put, and the Chiefs got a real find in the draft with him. Larry Johnson has a lot of miles on him, and Smith will step up more than many people will realize into a 1A kind of role for the Chiefs.

Next Season: Priority Handcuff Running Back with Starting Potential

Greg Jennings, WR-Green Bay Packers

Brett Favre is back, and to the surprise of many fantasy owners, Greg Jennings has taken a significant step up with him. He is one of the most reliable fantasy wide receivers that are out there, and they are truly hard to come by. Jennings has unbelievable talent and potential for his size. Watching him play, you can see just how important he is to keeping the Green Bay offense chugging along: Brett Favre couldn't do it with Donald Driver alone. Jennings will have at least 1,100 yards and 6 scores next season, and he is a great value pick for where he will be going in drafts.

Get him as your #2 receiver, and you'll be sitting pretty. He is a #1 fantasy wideout for 2008.

Next Season: Starting Fantasy Wide Receiver (#1)

Dwayne Bowe, WR-Kansas City Chiefs

What an impact Bowe has made as a rookie! Looking at the way he plays, you'd never think that he was one. Playing with the young first-year starter Brodie Croyle, Bowe and Croyle could make for a special tandem in a couple years, possibly as soon as next year. Croyle is a super-sleeper at QB for 2008, and if Croyle develops as quickly as some scouts believe, Bowe could be in for a special year. I project somewhere around 950-1,000 receiving yards and 8 scores, as I feel that he will be the main scorer on the team next year, not Tony Gonzalez.

Next Season: Starting Fantasy Wide Receiver (#2) with #1 potential.

Sidney Rice, WR-Minnesota Vikings

The Minnesota offense has been nothing to write home about, with Adrian Peterson excluded from the conversation. Okay, maybe it's just the passing game that needs help. But Tarvaris Jackson is a young, developmental quarterback with a huge ceiling, and he could be even better than the aforementioned Croyle. Look for Jackson to take the next step up next season, and Minnesota will become more of a balanced offense with his development. Rice will be the big time beneficiary. He is making big-time plays as the season is closing out, and I expect for him to be a game breaking wide receiver as early as next season.

Next Season: Starting Fantasy Wide Receiver (#3), Solid Flex Option

Owen Daniels, TE-Houston Texans

Fantasy prognosticators expected Daniels to be a sleeper this season, and he has certainly delivered. I strongly believe that Daniels will be a top three TE option next season, with the potential to be the best. Schaub will only continue to get better from here on out, and as the Houston offensive line continues to take shape (it's about time!), Daniels will be able to break free for more targets and catches. Sweet deal with Daniels...if you can steal him after the "top TE's" are gone, you will look like a genius.

Next Season: The Best TE in Fantasy Football

There you have it, the best names to watch out for and draft for next season. Best of luck in the closing weeks of your fantasy football season.

Saturday, December 1, 2007

Fantasy Impact Of Early MLB Free Agent Signings

Fantasy football is probably the only thing that is on everyone's mind right now, but true fantasy baseball owners never take a day off. If you're like me, you've probably heard of the big MLB free agent signings, but missed a lot of the minor ones. Let's take a look at the free agent signings that have taken place so far, and analyze them from a fantasy baseball perspective.


Jorge Posada (Catcher): Signed With New York Yankees, Previous Team: New York Yankees

Hip, Hip, Jorge! The longtime Yankees catcher appears to be finishing off his career in pinstripes, and this is great news for fantasy owners. The New York lineup will remain potent from top to bottom, and the Yankees pitchers feel comfortable working with him and trusting his pitch calls. At Posada's age, however, he may not have much more left in the tank. Age 36 for a catcher is very old, and he may end up DH'ing before his career is over. He still has great fantasy prospects for 2008, however, be wary of a small decline, especially in batting average.

Fantasy Impact: Expect continued solid numbers, with the chance of a slight decline.

Mike Lowell (Third Base): Signed With Boston Red Sox, Previous Team: Boston Red Sox

Lowell is about as solid as they come for third basemen in this league, and the New York Yankees made quite an attempt to land him in free agency. Going back to Boston should be great for Lowell, as he'll have a legitimate chance to duplicate his 2007 numbers in the potent Boston lineup. At age 33, he still has a couple of good years left in the tank, and so I expect a quality 2008 season from him. He may even come at a discount; some people do not believe Lowell can duplicate his fantastic 2007 season, but don't believe the hype and get after him!

Fantasy Impact:
No major change, expect a solid 2008 campaign with similar numbers from 2007.

Francisco Cordero (Closer): Signed With Cincinnati Reds, Previous Team: Milwaukee Brewers

Man, those Reds really shelled out the dollars to get a reliable closer, but it fills a definite void and in my opinion, is a fantastic signing. With a stellar strikeout-to-walk ratio, Cordero should be able to find continued individual success, even though the Great American Ballpark isn't the most pitcher-friendly. His save totals may decline, however, due to the sheer fact that Cincinnati isn't a very good baseball team. Crazier things have happened though, and Cordero could end up leading the league in saves. As for now, though, look for a slight decline in the number of saves, but good ERA, WHIP, and strikeout numbers.

Fantasy Impact:
Slight decline in value from last season, but still a top closer.

Mariano Rivera (Closer): Signed with New York Yankees, Previous Team: New York Yankees

There is nothing wrong with Mariano, people! Sure, he's getting up there in age, but his strikeout to walk ratio actually improved last season, showing that he still has the dominance to perform well in a closer's role. His fantasy value will remain exactly the same...a top-tier closer, for at least the next two years. If you're into the idea of drafting closers early, he should be among the first that you target.

Fantasy Impact:
Same 'ol Rivera! Draft him as you normally would draft elite closers.

Torii Hunter (Center Field): Signed with Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, Previous Team: Minnesota Twins

The signing of Torii Hunter was among the biggest this offseason, and it was highly publicized on ESPN and major sports networks. I believe that the signing of Hunter will greatly help his fantasy value. He moves to a much more potent lineup in LA, with Vladimir Guerrero and others there to support him. Fantasy aside, Hunter is a spectacular defensive player, and he should get a lot more publicity for this aspect playing in a much bigger market.

Fantasy Impact:
Definite stock rising, and a slight uptick in all numbers should be expected with his move to LAA.

Others:

Kerry Wood (SP-Signed with ChC):
Major caution flag with Kerry Wood, who should be in the closers mix come March. He is a massive injury risk, and you're probably better off avoiding this situation all together.

Luis Castillo (2B-Signed with NYM): Castillo should once again be a great deal if you are in need of speed or runs in your fantasy league. More often than not, that's all you get out of a MI position anyway, but he is a solid mid to late round pick who shouldn't disappoint.

Scott Linebrink (RP-Signed with CWS): The White Sox made a good signing with Linebrink, as they really needed to bolster their bullpen. Linebrink is a solid relief pitcher pick, as he should provide quality innings, especially for those who count holds as a statistic in their league. Linebrink was actively shopped at last years trade deadline, but a deal never got done. Chicago seems like a logical place for him to end up, and he'll be setting up Bobby Jenks (who, honestly, is anything but reliable).

Kenny Rogers (SP-Signed with DET): The country music singer, err, the Detroit starting pitcher, is back for another season with the team. Detroit is hoping to get another quality season out of Rogers after a disappointing 2006 year filled with injuries. I would steer clear of Kenny Rogers in fantasy leagues, and take a wait-and-see approach with him. If he has a strong first month, he may be worth a shot on your roster.

Tom Glavine (SP-Signed with ATL): Glavine is heading back to Atlanta, where he spent a ton of time in the late 90's on one of the most dominating rotations to ever see the game. Glavine should be in for a mediocre season with Atlanta, and as we saw last year in NYM, he struggled with his consistency. All that we need is Greg Maddux going back there, and the Maddux-Glavine-Smoltz trio would make for an interesting year for the Braves.

There you have it, the key free agent signings and their fantasy implications! More analysis of free agent signings will be coming up at a later date.